QCPCapitalhaspublishedamarketanalysishighlightingthatBitcoinhasrecentlysurgedfrom$62,000to$65,000,witharound$80millionworthofleveragedBTCandETHpositionsbeingliquidated.

WhilesomehaveattributedthepriceincreasetonewsthatMt.GoxhasextendeditsrepaymentperiodtoOctober2025,QCPCapitalnotesthatthisinformationwasalreadymadepubliclastFriday.

Thefirmsuggeststhatwhileavarietyoffactorscouldexplaintherally,thetimingisparticularlyinterestingbecauseitfallsinmid-October,justthreeweeksbeforetheUSpresidentialelection.QCPCapitaldrewparallelswithpastelectioncycles,notingthatinboth2016and2020,Bitcoinsawsignificantpricemovementsthatbeganafullthreeweeksbeforeelections.In2016,BTCdoubledfrom$600byearlyJanuary,whilein2020,itrosefrom$11,000to$42,000overasimilarperiod.

Despitethelessimpressivecurrentmonth,withBitcoinupjust1.2%comparedtoahistoricalaveragegainof21%inOctober,QCPCapitalbelievestherecentrallycouldbeaturningpoint.Thefirmstressesthataftermonthsofrange-boundtrading,today’spriceactioncouldindicatethemarketisprimedforarepeatofpreviouspatterns.

Asspotpricescontinuetorise,QCPCapitalexpectsmarketparticipantstofocusonQ4profittargetsandcloselymonitorwhetherBitcoincangainmomentumaheadoftheelection.

*Thisisnotinvestmentadvice.

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