Coinbase stock has 2 catalysts: is the CONY ETF a better buy?
Coinbase(COIN)stockpricehasstagedastrongcomebackinthepastfewdays,risingtoahighof$196.35,itshighestpointsinceAugust27.Ithasreboundedbymorethan34%fromitslowestpointinSeptember,meaningthatitisinabullmarket. Coinbaseshareshaverisenbyover12%thisyear,whiletheYieldMaxCOINOptionIncomeStrategyETF(CONY)hastumbledbyover50%.Onthepositiveside,itstotalreturnhasbeen1.45%,helpedbyitssubstantialdividendyield. Coinbaseisfacingmajorheadwinds Coinbase,thebiggestcryptocurrencyexchangeintheUS,isfacingmajorheadwindsaspricesremainonedge. WhileBitcoinhasdonewellthisweek,itremainssubstantiallylowerthanitsall-timehighof$73,800.OtheraltcoinslikeEthereum,Ripple,andAvalanchehavealsoslumpedinthepastfewmonths. ThirdpartydatashowsthatCoinbasehaslostmarketshareagainstotherglobalexchanges.DatabyCoinMarketCapshowsthatCoinbasehandledover$2.45billionworthofcryptocurrenciesinthelast24hours. Binancemaintainedthebiggestmarketshare,handlingover$16.7billion.Bybithandled$4.3billion,whileOKXprocessedcoinsworthover$2.7billion.TherearerisingoddsthatotherexchangeslikeGate.io,HTX,andUpbitwillpassCoinbaseinthenextfewmonths. ThesearenotablenumbersbecauseCoinbasewasoncethebiggestcryptoexchangeglobally.ItisalsooneofthemostsecuresinceitisundertheSecuritiesandExchangeCommission(SEC)supervision,andisauditedbyDeloitte,abigfourauditor. Mostimportantly,Coinbase’sinfrastructurehasbeentrustedbylargeETFissuerslikeGrayscaleandBlackrock. ThemainreasonwhyCoinbasehaslostmarketshareislikelybecauseitnormallytakeslongertolistnewcryptotokens.ItisnotuncommonforexchangeslikeBinance,OKX,andHTXtolistmostnewcryptocurrenciesandmemecoinsonthesameday. TheotherchallengeisthatBitcoinandEthereumETFinflowshaveslowed.DatabySoSoValueshowsthatBitcoinETFshaveaddedover$19.36billioninassetsthisyear.Whilethisisagoodnumber,thegrowthhasslowed.SpotEthereumETFshaveshedover$541millioninassets. Coinbase’sBitcoincatalyst Onthepositiveside,therearerisingoddsthattheCoinbasestockpricewilldowellifBitcoinstagesacomeback.Inmostperiods,theexchangeseesmorevolumewhenBTCisdoingwellsincesuchactionleadstomorevolume. TechnicalssuggestthatBitcoinmaystageastrongcomebackinthecomingmonths.Onthedailychart,ithasformedaninverseheadandshoulderspattern,apopularbullishsign. Bitcoinhasremainedabovethe50-dayand200-daymovingaverages,andhasformedafallingbroadeningwedgepattern.Ithasalsoavoidedformingadeathcrosschartpattern. PolymarketusersareupbeataboutBitcoinprices.Apollwithover$534kinfundsshowsthatthereisa64%chancethatBitcoinwillretestandpasstheall-timehighof$73,800laterthisyear.SuchamovewillbenefitCoinbaseanditsstock. Readmore:Bitcoin’s‘Uptober’rallykicksoff,drivenbymarketoptimismandelectionbets BaseBlockchainisdoingwell OnthepositivesideforCoinbase,itsBaseBlockchainisdoingwell.ItstotalvaluelockedintheDeFiindustryhasrisenbyover56%inthepast30daysto$2.50billion,whiletheamountofstablecoinsinithasrisento$3.7billion. BasehasalsobecomealeadingplayerintheDEXindustry.DatashowsthatitsDEXnetworkshandledover$5.6billioninthelastsevendays,makingitthethird-biggestnetworkintheindustry. Sinceitslaunchin2023,BaseBlockchainhasovertakenpopularblockchainslikeCardano,Arbitrum,Avalanche,Polygon,andNearProtocol. Onewayofmonetisingthisbusinesswouldbetolaunchitsairdrop.GoingbyArbitrum’sfullydilutedmarketcapofover$5billion,therearechancesthatBasetokenwouldachieveavaluationofover$6billion. Besides,therecentlylaunchedEigenLayerisvaluedatover$6billion,whileScroll,whichissmallerthanBasehasanFDVof$1.27billion. CoinbasestockvsCONYETF Forinvestors,therearetwomainapproachestoinvestinCoinbase.ThemoststraightforwardapproachistoinvestinCoinbasestock. ThealternativeapproachistobuytheCONYETF,whichusesoptionstomaximisereturns.Itisasingle-stockETFthatgeneratesreturnsbybothbuyingthestockandsellingitscalloptions. CONYhasoneofthehighestdistributionratesintheindustrysinceithasadistributionrateof94.76%anda30-dayyieldof3.70%. Itpaysadividendeverymonth.Dataonitswebsiteshowsthatitmadeapaymentof$1.04inSeptember,$1.006inAugust,and$1.57amonthearlier.Thesenumbersmeanthatitsdistributionsarenotregular. Inmostcases,whenlookingatthetotalreturn,investinginastockisusuallythebetteroptioncomparedtotheETF.Asshownabove,theCOINstockhasrisenby161%inthelast12months,whiletheCONYFundhasrisenby81%inthesameperiod. ThepostCoinbasestockhas2catalysts:istheCONYETFabetterbuy?appearedfirstonInvezz…