DatafromCoinGlassshowsthatBitcoin’s(BTC)futureopeninteresthasskyrocketedto$40.5billion.ThenextbigsurgeinopeninterestappearedwhenBitcoin’spricereachednearly$70k.Thisincreaseshowsahugesurgeininvestors’interestinBitcoinderivativemarkets. ThemarketleaderistheCME,with30.7%oftheBitcoinfuturesopeninterest.Themarketishighlyconcentrated,asprovenbyBinance,with20.4%,followedbyBybit,with15%.ThisdistributionshowsthemainroleofthemajorexchangesindrivingBitcoin’sderivativemarket. ThisrisingOpenInterestalsowarnsofcorrespondingsystemleverage,whichcouldbeexplosive.Cascadingliquidationsmayhappenwhenpricesshiftsharply,oftenresultinginforcedspotmarketsales.ThesescenarioscouldresultinbigpricedropslikeinAugust—aleantwodaysinwhichBitcoinlostcloseto20%. BitcoinPriceApproaches$69KAmidElection-DrivenSurge EarlytradingonOctober21sawBitcoinhit$69,380,beforeresistance,retracingtoaround$69,033.However,Bitcoinisjust6.4percentawayfromitsall-timehighof$73,738. ThecurrentpriceboomisrelatedtotheupcomingU.S.presidentialelectiononNovember5.WiththechancesofDonaldTrumpreturningtoofficeincreasing,marketsentimentisstartingtofavorBitcoin.Becauseofhisadministration’slenientcryptoregulation,hispotentialvictoryhelpssupportcryptomarkets. However,thepriceofBitcoinhasincreasedthankstothesepoliticalfactors,whilethebroadermarketstillawaitsadditionaldevelopments.Focusingoncorporateearningsandelectionrisks,traderswilllookawayfromnobigeconomiceventsthisweek.Thatvolatilityishappeningwithinthecryptocurrencymarket,andthereisongoinguncertaintysurroundingtheelection. EtherandSolanaRallyasBitcoinDominates WhileBitcoinhasbeenmakingheadlines,itisn’tthecasefornewaltcoinslikeEthereumandSolanawithdailygains.Etherclimbedby3.5percentto$2,750,whileSolanamorethandoubled,risingmorethan6percentto$170.Bothassetshavepulledbackslightlyfromtheirrecenthighs. Thecombineddynamicsofthebitcoinmarketandthoseofthealtcoinsaddalayerofcomplexitysincetheperformanceofaltcoinscanbeimpacted.Bitcoinmaybethestar,butinvestorsareincreasinglybullishonaltcoinstoboostreturns.Asthemarketgrows,sodoesinterestinalternativedigitalassets. ButwithBitcoinfuturesopeninterestontherise,altcoinsalsohaveriskstoworryabout.IfthepriceofBitcoinswingswildly,altcoinsmaytoo.Forthisreason,marketparticipantsmustkeepcheckingBitcoinandaltcoinsforthepossibilityofpricemovementsinthecomingweeks. U.S.ElectionFuelsBitcoinSurgeAmidUncertainty TheU.S.presidentialelectionisdrivingBitcoin’srecentsurge.BeforeNovember5,marketparticipantsreckonedwithhowtheelectionoutcomesmightaffectcryptocurrencymarkets.DonaldTrump’spoliciesarebecomingmorecrypto-friendly,openinguptoBitcoin,whichhasboostedhispollingnumbersandbroughtupBitcoin. UnderTrump’sadministration,higherU.S.interestratescouldboostBitcoinbyweakeningothercurrencies,accordingtomarketanalysts.‘Thefactthatthedollarhasbeenstrongisafactorinrecentmarketmoves,promptingtraderstofindawaytohedgeagainstcurrencyrisk.’Tradersarenowconsideringwhethertogearupforelection-relatedtrades,aswith15daystothevotingday,theycanmakethosedecisions. Tradersalsolookatcorporateearningsreports,whichmayinfluencemarketsentimentbeyondpoliticalfactors.Combinedwithelectionuncertainty,themarket’ssimplevolatilitybecomesevenmorecomplex. thecoinrepublic.com