Earliertoday,BinanceannouncedthelistingoftheSolana-basedmemecoinPonke(PONKE)onitsfuturesmarket,drivingitspriceupby12%withinminutes.However,thesurgewasshort-livedasPONKE’spricequicklyretracedallthosegains.
Here’sabreakdownofhowitallhappenedandwhatmightbenextforthememecoin’svalue.
PonkeSeesRecordVolume,BearishSentiment
BinancelistedthememecoinPonkeat12:30UTCtoday,pairingitwithUSDTinaperpetualcontract.Createdin2023,Ponkeisamonkey-themedmemecointhatinitiallygainedtractionamongmemecoinenthusiastsbeforebeingovershadowedbytheriseoftokenslikedogwifhat(WIF)andBonk(BONK).
Despitelosingmomentumafterbeingoutperformedbyitspeers,Ponke’slistingonBinancereignitedinterest,causingitspricetosurgefrom$0.44to$0.51.However,thegainswereshort-lived,astheexcitementsurroundingthelistingquicklyturnedintoaclassic“sellthenews”event,leadingtoacompletereversaloftheearlierpriceincrease.
Still,PONKE’svolumesoaredtoanall-timehighof$88.57million.Thissurgeimpliesthatthelistingleadstohigherinterestinthememecoin.Butinthiscase,risingvolumealongsidedecliningpriceisbearish,suggestingthatthemetricisstrengtheningthedowntrend.
PonkeVolume.Source:Santiment
Ifsustained,PONKE’spricemightcontinuetodecrease.Theweightedsentimentaroundthememecoinisanotherfactorsuggestinganaccelerateddrawdown.
Thismetricgaugesthebroadermarket’sperceptionofacryptocurrency.Whenitispositive,theaveragecommentisbullish.Butanegativereadingindicatesotherwise.
AccordingtoSantiment,thePonkeBinancelistinginitiallyliftedtheWeightedSentimentveryhigh.However,asofthiswriting,ithasdroppedtothenegativeregion,suggestingthatpessimisticremarkshaveplaguedthecryptocurrencyshortlyafterward.Thisalsoindicatesdwindlingdemand,whichcoulddragPONKE’spricefurtherdown.
PonkeWeightedSentiment.Source:Santiment
PONKEPricePrediction:DeclineMayContinue
Alookatthe4-hourchartshowsthattheMovingAverageConvergenceDivergence(MACD)hasfallentothenegativeregion.TheMACDisatechnicaloscillatorthatmeasurestherelationshipbetweentwomovingaveragestospottrends.
Whentheindicator’sreadingispositive,momentumisbullish,andthepricecanincrease.Butinthiscase,thenegativeratingsuggestsbearishmomentumaroundPONKE.Hence,thevaluemightdrop.
Ponke4-HourAnalysis.Source:TradingView
WhilePONKEtradesat$0.432,thiscurrentconditionindicatesthatthememecoinvaluecouldslideto$0.36.However,ifmarketparticipantsbuythedip,thisforecastmightbeinvalidated,andPONKEmightrallytothehighestpointofthewickat$0.62.
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